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On The Record (5-19-26).

The “Sell USA” Trade Is Real.

This week we dug into the Treasury’s TIC data—the report nobody reads but everybody should—which shows central banks quietly stepping back from U.S. debt while private money fills the gap. That’s a problem when you’re carrying $39 trillion and yields are climbing. Then we looked at what that actually means at the kitchen table: record household debt, credit card rates near 24%, and an inflation measure that doesn’t even count the cost of carrying all that debt.

Read the full essay
On The Record 5-19-26. The “Sell USA” Trade Is Real. How Iran Is Winning. Credit Card Crisis. FD Signifier On Hart. UNFTR