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UNFTR Weekly Roundup

Max Notes

As if on cue, listener Brendan “504B Shot” emailed this as I was writing Max Notes this week. On my mind is RFK Jr. once again because he’s just so hunky. Here’s what Brendan wrote:

“I have a lot of kids and a lot of jobs/roles so not a lot of time. A friend of mine was talking up RFK Jr., and I didn’t really have a response. So I checked up on his platform, and other than the vaccine bullshit, it seemed pretty good. I know y’all have covered him before, and I’m pretty sure the UNFTR movement is not a fan. I am probably not remembering, but could I get a refresher? What is wrong with this guy.. other than and in addition to the vaccine bullshit? Is he leaving a dangerous libertarian stance out of his platform?”

First off, I’m really grateful for this email because it perfectly encapsulates the voter mindset as we plod through the never-ending election cycle. As a reminder no one needs, our “Chart of the Week” is the snapshot of polling data from 538 on election day 2016 giving Hillary Clinton a 71.4% chance of winning. The purpose of including this bleak memory is to illustrate just how bad polling is at capturing true voter sentiment in this era of fractured attention.

 

Take Brendan’s lead-in for example: “I have a lot of kids and a lot of jobs/roles so not a lot of time.” This resonates with me in a powerful way because it’s all of us. And heading into the election, we all know Trump and we all know Biden. But how well do we know Bobby Kennedy, Jr.?

 

The answer is, not well. And I think that’s not only deliberate but it’s a hidden advantage considering how dismal Trump and Biden’s favorability ratings are.

 

I’m working through a larger piece on this as we speak but here’s the important thing. RFK Jr. picked up ballot access in the battleground state of Michigan this week making it only the second state to affirm his placement on the ballot in November. But boy-oh-boy is that a big one. While the novice politician faces an enormous and expensive uphill battle to obtain access in all 50 states and DC, it’s a bit of a nightmare scenario for the Biden team that is already struggling to contend with the significant opposition movement to his blind support of Israel.

 

There are a few groups that might theoretically align with their perceptions of RFK Jr. Tech bros that take supplements and grind all day while listening to Joe Rogan. Anti-Vaxxers that used to align more with the left than the right in the pre-COVID days. Older African-American voters that have great sympathy for what his father represented. Environmentalists. Libertarians. Anti-War activists. Somehow both anti-semites and pro-Israel voters have taken a shine to him. Perhaps first-time voters, considering he’s the most popular presidential candidate on TikTok.

 

A nip here, a tuck there. A few more swing states and a following that might be nearly impossible to poll and RFK Jr. could turn this into one of the wildest and most unpredictable elections in American history.

 

Other things I’m obsessing over…

  • I’m here for all things James McAvoy, especially this trailer for Speak No Evil. Sure, it gives most of the movie away but I’m game anyway. My youngest and I already have plans to see it.

  • The Cosmic Skeptic Alex O’Connor.

  • NYM 10-3 since dropping first 5 games. No big deal.

  • Taylor Swift’s new album. (Not really, but I support all things 99 so there.)

-Max

Chart of the Week

Map of the U.S. with titles who will win the presidency. Hillary Clintons chance of winning 71.4%, Donald Trumps chance of winning 28.6%

Source: FiveThirtyEight

 

A chart of sorts, I suppose. Just a reminder that when it comes to predictions and polls, we don’t know jack shit about what voters do in the booth. This was 538’s prediction ON election day. Back then Gary “Aleppo” Johnson took 5% of the popular vote. RFK is on track to potentially double that (if he can find his way to the ballot).

Headlines

Ecuador Toes the U.S. Company Line in Palestine

This is a timely article from The Intercept that weaves together a couple threads we’ve been pulling lately. Ecuador, under the leadership of increasingly conservative Daniel Noboa, has a prime seat on the 15 member UN Security Council this year and has signaled through diplomatic cables that it is in agreement with the United States that there should be no pathway to Palestinian statehood. This is complicated by Ecuador’s recent storming of the Mexican embassy, which the U.S. had to condemn publicly while covertly coordinating on Palestine. What a tangled web we weave.

 

“A second cable dated April 13 sent from the U.S. Embassy in Quito, Ecuador, relays Ecuadorian Foreign Minister Gabriela Sommerfeld’s agreement with the United States that Palestine should not be recognized for statehood. In cooperation with the United States, according to the cable, Sommerfeld instructed Ecuador’s permanent representative to the United Nations José De La Gasca to lobby Japan, Korea, and Malta (all rotating members of the Security Council) to reject the proposal. Lobbying of permanent member France is also mentioned.”

 

The Intercept: Leaked Cables Show White House Opposes Palestinian Statehood

 

Arizona Is Ground Zero for the Libertarian Education Ideology

One of my treats to myself this year was a subscription to The Baffler. They tell stories the good old fashioned way. A proper narrative lede to draw you in, central characters that move the story along and genuine reporting to support it all. Arizona is in the news lately for revitalizing an abortion ban that was passed before Arizona was even a state. This article steps back to look at how the education system has been the proving ground (K-12 and University) for the most extreme neoliberal blueprint to simultaneously rip apart the public education system and infuse it from the bottom up and top down with radical conservative ideas.

 

From the article:

“Boyes said that Arizona’s freedom schools would achieve optimal long-term impact if the centers could open both K-12 and university education to a ‘free-market approach’—in his words—and ‘get rid of the public education, create private education as a replacement, and have a market for education.’ In this radically different vision of a future United States, most families would not be able to send their kids to school because there wouldn’t be a free public education system to receive them. But in the interim, Boyes suggested, the government did have a role to play during a transition period to “private for-profit” schools: ‘The state would continue to provide funds at a declining rate for a short period of time.’”

 

The Baffler: Raising Arizona: The Koch network’s war on education goes west

 

How the 32-Hour Workweek Became a Talking Point

Fewer members doesn’t mean less of an impact. That’s one of the lessons we learned from Shawn Fain’s approach to leading the UAW. We can debate tactics and outcomes but there’s no question that Fain and others like Christian Smalls were able to put labor center stage in the last couple of years in a profound way. One of the surprising corollaries has been the normalization of the 32-hour workweek in the conversation about worker’s rights, artificial intelligence and the future of industrialization.

 

From the article:

“‘It really made people reflect on what’s important in life,’ Fain told me in January. Workers were deciding, he said, that working 12-hour days, seven days a week, cobbling together multiple jobs to scrape by ​‘is not a life.’ And so the shorter hours demand made its way from grumbling workers to the UAW’s strike demands to major headlines. It was ​‘like a bolt out of nowhere,’ said Juliet Schor, an economist and sociologist of work at Boston College who has researched and advocated for shorter hours for decades. ​‘It legitimated [the demand] hugely.’ Suddenly, New York Times editorial board member Binyamin Appelbaum was endorsing the call and urging President Joe Biden to act on it for workers across industries. ​‘Americans spend too much time on the job,’ Appelbaum wrote. ​‘A shorter workweek would be better for our health, better for our families and better for our employers.’”

 

In These Times: A 32-Hour Workweek Is Ours for the Taking

    This Week on the Pod

    The Evolution of AOC and Behind the Trump Bump

    Someone holding small versions of Donald Trump and AOC in their hand

    Distracted Max reached new heights this week so instead of releasing the third installment of the Over the Borderline series, he mashed up two shorter Topical Creams from YouTube into an episode. Both cover familiar ground to keep a focus on what matters politically. The “silly season” is when narratives harden so sometimes it’s important to reassert certain claims. The first segment is about AOC’s recent decision to fund the Democratic Party in the upcoming election for the first time in her brief career. The second is a reminder that the things that people recall fondly from the Trump era were predominantly socialist-style and Keynesian interventions that provided momentary relief and financial security for all those who made it through COVID.

     

    Here’s a snippet from the pod:

    Max on AOC: “Now that she’s spreading the wealth, and in a very specific way, she’s basically announced the next chapter in her career. For those who expected more from her and want her to vote against every single thing either party puts on the table, you’re missing the point. If you want pure principle that’s for activists like Medea Benjamin, Nina Turner, Angela Davis, Christian Smalls and Ralph Nader. When you elect representatives you’re looking for people on the inside who understand how to pull the levers and make deals. There are 435 of these assholes and our job is to find the assholes that know when to pucker and when to make a stink. If you’re looking for bomb throwers to dismantle the system that’s not what this is.”

     

    Max on Trump: “Trump’s mismanagement of the pandemic plunged the country and household wealth into the abyss. And within months the government covered it and then some. A combination of socialist-style welfare policies and extraordinary Keynesian interventions gave the country a different kind of whiplash. From the depths of despair, social and fiscal welfare policies saved the nation and for the first time since the post World War Two boom, everyone was a little better off than before. I mean, those who were still alive and didn’t try to cure themselves of COVID by drinking bleach.”

    Read The Essay
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    Resources

    Pod Love

    “We’ve long heard about how the news business is failing –  layoff after layoff, media execs have claimed that they have had no choice but to make cutbacks.

     

    “In Bell’s latest round of 4800 layoffs, CEO Mirko Babic defended his decision to a parliamentary committee, claiming the company was struggling in a tough economic environment – and that news was part of what was bringing them down.

     

    “But is that the full story? 

     

    “Because before Google and Facebook ate up advertising dollars, the Canadian media companies of the 90s made a bad bet. And it failed to pay off. 

     

    “And now… the news industry is taking the fall.”

     

    Canadaland: #980 Slash and Burn: How Cheap Debt Killed the News

     

    Book Love

    I’m lost in white papers and essays on the effect of neoliberal economic policy in the Latin American region right now, so no new book recommendations at the moment. Feel free to suggest some so we can start building a summer reading list!

     

    Unf*cker Comment of the Week

     

    Torrential Rage:

    “I get frustrated when the holier than thou online leftists demand purity from [AOC]. They want her to be an activist, accomplish nothing and burn out.”

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