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UNFTR Weekly Roundup

Max Notes

Welcome Frantifa! Francesca Fiorentini returned the favor this week and had me on the Bitchuation Room livestream with comedian Anthony Atamanuik to talk about Project 2025, the slew of new anti-semitism bills in Congress and the crackdown on student protests around the nation. First off, let me say that Francesca is fucking awesome and her audience is super cool. I’m glad we had a chance to cross pollinate and hang for a bit. You can check it out here if you get a chance:

 

The Bitchuation Room with Anthony Atamanuik & Max of UNFTR

 

My brain is a bit torn at the moment. When you live inside a series like Over The Borderline it’s hard to pull away and compartmentalize such overwhelming information. So forgive me if these notes and the next couple of weeks are a little scattershot. While we’re below the border, a couple of notes. The upcoming election in Mexico is an important one and thankfully it looks as though Obrador’s hand-picked successor Claudia Sheinbaum has a comfortable lead in the polls. Having said that, I found the research into the Mexican economy troubling because the influence of conglomerates and cartels continue to impact investor sentiment. Moreover, it’s fascinating to unpack how Mexico ceded its geographic advantage to the U.S. consumer market to China over a period of three decades; a problem that continues to haunt Mexico to this day. 

 

Argentina’s financial crisis is deepening under Milei’s austerity measures, though there are signs that inflation is beginning to cool. If there’s an analogy to be drawn between Argentina and U.S. experience, it could be likened to Paul Volcker’s shock therapy in the late ‘70s and early ‘80s. So regardless of what anyone thinks of Milei’s tactics and authoritarian streak, if our experience is a predictor of what’s to come, Argentina is in for years of pain. 

 

One takeaway from the series that is worth sharing—especially because we spend so much time talking about ideology—is that the migrant crisis is happening across the political spectrum. Whether it’s autocratic Venezuela or democratic socialist Honduras, the root causes of migration are threefold: climate change, economics and violence. And there’s intersectionality. The best that can be said about patterns of forced immigration is that nations with strong social safety nets, climate resilient economies and anti-corruption mechanisms are the ones most able to weather the storm. Sounds obvious, I know. But sometimes the simplest answer is the right one. 

 

I’ll have more to say on the student protests in the coming weeks…So stay tuned. 

 

Other things I’m obsessing over…

      • Noah Gundersen. How did I miss this guy? If my personality had a distinct sound, this would be it. My gateway was a YouTube short of Gundersen performing a cover of Counting Crows hit song Round Here. That took me to inhaling his latest (and my current favorite) album If This Is The End.

      -Max

      Chart of the Week

      30 year fixed rate mortgage average in the united states

      Source: St. Louis Fed

       

      The St. Louis Fed tracks the 30 year fixed rate mortgage average, and demonstrates why there’s such a squeeze in the market right now. There’s little incentive for homeowners with low rates to budge if they’re looking to substitute mortgages, causing an inventory crisis. And, of course, it leaves many first time home buyers on the sidelines. 

      Headlines

      The Fed Plan To Return Trump to the White House

      Pair this with the next article so it makes more sense. The Federal Reserve held rates this week saying that inflation is still too hot to take any chances with interest rates. So Powell is going to keep the pressure on the consumer to slow the fuck down. As we’ve said a million times before, if the consumer is still under extreme pressure and living paycheck to paycheck by the election, it’s Trump’s to have. There’s still no objective or rational talk about the billions in excess profits corporations have made since the pandemic. And no talk (yet) about the article below that reveals some staggering news about collusion. For now, here’s a highlight from the NYT coverage of Powell’s presser.

       

      From the article:

      “Here are a few key takeaways from Powell’s press conference.


      “The Fed still thinks that its next move will be a rate cut, and Powell clearly said that further rate increases are ‘unlikely.’


      “Still, it is not clear how much the Fed will manage to cut rates this year. Inflation is cooling more slowly than officials had expected.


      “Powell avoided commenting on whether three rate cuts are still possible this year: That was the Fed’s forecast as of March, but investors now expect fewer reductions.


      “Powell said that he thinks that the current rate setting is weighing on the economy, and that it will continue to do so over time.


      “The upshot? We may be headed for a longer period of high rates. For consumers, that means mortgages and credit card rates could stay pricey for a while.”

       

      New York Times: Fed Holds Rates, Noting ‘Lack of Further Progress’ on Inflation

       

      Massive News About Big Oil Collusion

      Matt Stoller has been pumping out the best information on corporate price gouging and inflation since the beginning of the post-pandemic inflation crisis. While pundits and politicians were blaming supply chains and war (some validity to both but only to a certain extent) Stoller was doing the hard math to correlate the explosion in corporate profits to consumer price increases. Well, he’s doing it again and now there’s a lawsuit and investigation by the FTC that proves his theory on Big Oil. Outstanding work by Stoller and maddening as hell. Of course, I have Unf*cker Dan M in my head saying, “told you we need unf*ck transportation.”

       

      From the article:

      “It's pretty clear that in 2021 and 2022, the industry did fantastically well, with the ‘the top 25 companies [making] more than $205 billion in profits in 2021,’ and an ‘even more astounding’ amount in 2022. Of course, not all profits are due to price-fixing, but $205 billion is just the top 25, not the whole industry. And profits got much much better the next year. So let’s layer on a rough guess of a $200 billion increase in profits in 2021 that Scott Sheffield implies, which is 27% of the total corporate profit increase that year. That’s a pretty astounding amount, more than a quarter of the total inflationary increase being a result purely of a price-fixing scheme.”

       

      BIG by Matt Stoller: An Oil Price-Fixing Conspiracy Caused 27% of All Inflation in 2021

       

      High There!

      At least there’s some good news. Can’t wait to launch our weed line. That’s the game changer we need.

       

      From the article:

      “‘If today’s reporting proves true, we will be one step closer to ending the failed war on drugs,’ Rep. Earl Blumenauer said in an emailed statement obtained by High Times. ‘Marijuana was scheduled more than 50 years ago based on stigma, not science. The American people have made clear in state after state that cannabis legalization is inevitable. The Biden-Harris Administration is listening.’”

       

      High Times: DEA Moves To Reclassify Cannabis Under Schedule III in Historic Move, Report Indicates

        This Week on the Pod

        Over the Borderline: Part Three.

        Barbed wire surrounding an encampent at the border

        Our third and final installment of Over The Borderline stays below the U.S. southern border to look at the economic factors that contribute to mass migration from Central and South American countries specifically. We look at the root economic causes of migration, the U.S. failure to meaningfully partner with LAC nations to promote mutually beneficial economic conditions and the expansion of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) in Latin America and the geopolitical impact that’s having on our relationships.

         

        Here’s a snippet from the pod:

        MAX: “It’s impossible to say what the state of affairs in Latin America would be had we pursued true partnerships rather than a combination of neocolonialism and neoliberalism. And that doesn’t touch on the ideological-based military interventions during the Cold War era, which destabilized much of Central America and the Caribbean and parts of South America; a philosophy that pervades State Department thinking today as evidenced by our sanctions policy toward Cuba and Venezuela—though the latter is beginning to thaw—and our tendency to intervene in electoral politics. Old habits die hard.”

        Read The Essay
        Access Episode Resources

        Resources

        Pod Love

        I know, I know. The Rewatchables Podcast. Again. Couple of reasons for this one. First off, it’s my guilty pleasure. Secondly, host Bill Simmons saves all the ‘80s and ‘90s cheesy action movies for his buddy Kyle Brandt who cracks me up every time. He’s a gem. 

         

        Most importantly for us, it was spooky to hear them unpack this so-bad-it’s-good classic The Running Man with Ahhhnold. Here’s the list of cool shit. 

        1. It’s based on a Stephen King novel. Didn’t know that. 
        2. It predicted the rise of reality television
        3. It predicted how media and inequality would divide us
        4. It predicted how a reality television star would become the most powerful person in America. (Richard Dawson as the host set in…get this…2017.)

        The Rewatchables Podcast: The Running Man

         

        Book Love

        “Big tech has replaced capitalism’s twin pillars--markets and profit--with its platforms and rents. With every click and scroll, we labor like serfs to increase its power. Welcome to technofeudalism...

         

        “Perhaps we were too distracted by the pandemic, or the endless financial crises, or the rise of TikTok. But under cover of them all, a new and more exploitative system has been taking hold. Insane sums of money that were supposed to re-float our economies after the crash of 2008 went to big tech instead. With it they funded the construction of their private cloud fiefdoms and privatized the internet.

         

        “Technofeudalism says Yanis Varoufakis, is the new power that is reshaping our lives and the world, and is the greatest current threat to the liberal individual, to our efforts to avert climate catastrophe--and to democracy itself.”

         

        Yanis Varoufakis: Technofeudalism: What Killed Capitalism

         

        Unf*cker Comment of the Week

        Aaron H.:

        “When I’m in town, or driving down a lonesome rural highway, it’s guaranteed that I’ll see ‘Fuck Joe Biden’ or ‘Let’s Go Brandon’ signage. I’ve seen guys who have their entire rear windshield covered in a Fuck Joe Biden decal (and I’m like, ‘where the fuck do you even get a thing like that?’ That’s some gloriously fucked up capitalism.) I have never seen a Fuck Donald Trump sign, for the record.”

        Progressive Corner

        Progressive Spotlight: David Sirota.

        The journalist, political strategist, radio personality, and screenwriter has built an independent media network that challenges authority through rigorous, unflinching investigative reporting.

         

        Progressive Organization of the Week: Coalition on Human Needs.

        “The Coalition on Human Needs (CHN) is an alliance of national organizations working together to promote public policies which address the needs of low-income and other vulnerable populations. The Coalition’s members include civil rights, religious, labor, and professional organizations, service providers and those concerned with the well being of children, women, the elderly, and people with disabilities.”

         

        Check Out the New UNFTR Directory of Progressive Resources for More

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